The health of the livestock industry and the health of the broader economy are joined at the hip, according to Chris Hurt, a
Hurt said livestock producers were hit with the "double whammy" of a recession and high feed costs in 2008. In 2009, lower feed costs will benefit livestock producers, but the recession will continue to hurt demand.
"We're going to see another year of struggle for the livestock industry," he declared.
For the past two years, meat production has declined in the
In relation to pork prices, since 2000 beef prices have risen 1.5 times higher than pork prices, Hurt said. For beef, the more expensive, high-end cuts are showing the greatest decline in demand, with consumers substituting lower end cuts, poultry and pork. This is the case at both restaurants and grocery stores.
For the pork industry, Hurt expects a slight profit or a break-even year in 2009. Supplies will need to be kept down for the pork industry to make a profit this year.Supplies will also need to decline for the beef cattle industry to make a profit. "There should be no move to expand the beef cattle herd. I see another declining year of supply," he said.